摘要
实现"多规合一"是建立国土空间规划体系的基本要求,是推进空间治理现代化的重要改革。"多规合一"目的是解决规划"打架"问题,有利于落实空间管控措施,避免城市无序蔓延,实现内涵集约发展。2014年起我国逐步开展国家级"多规合一"试点,本文采用2012—2017年地级市数据,运用双重差分法对政策效果进行实证检验,结果表明:(1)"多规合一"能够有效抑制城市蔓延,试点城市的蔓延指数减少约1.3%,稳健性检验表明抑制作用显著存在。(2)市级规划使蔓延指数减少约3.1%,省级规划使蔓延指数减少约1%,一定程度上说明市级规划可能会更好地抑制城市蔓延。(3)"多规合一"的政策效果在城市人口密度、地域分布、政策执行能力等层面存在一定异质性。本文的贡献在于,一方面提供了影响城市蔓延的政策因素和"多规合一"政策评估领域的文献补充,另一方面为推进国土空间规划改革提供了启示。
The implementation of"multi-plan integration"is a basic requirement of establishing the territorial planning system in China,and it is also an important reform to promote the modernization of space governance.In 2014,the Chinese government introduced the"multi-plan integration"reform to carry out space control measures,avoid disordered urban expansion,and realize intensive urban development.Using the data of China’s prefecture-level cities from 2012 to 2017,this paper empirically tests the effects of the"multi-plan integration"policy by use of the Difference-in-Difference(DID)method.The results show that:(1)the"multi-plan integration"policy can effectively restrain urban sprawl.The sprawl index of pilot cities has been reduced by about 1.3%on average,and the robustness test confirms that the restraining effect of the policy is significant.(2)The city-level planning reduces the sprawl index by about 3.1%,while the province-level planning reduces the index by about 1%,which indicates that the policy effect of city-level planning is stronger than that of the province-level planning.(3)The policy effects of"multi-plan integration"are heterogeneous in the aspects of population density,geographical location,and policy implementation capacity of different cities.By evaluating the policy effects of"multi-plan integration",the paper explores the policy factors influencing urban sprawl,with the hope to provide reference for the promotion of territorial planning in China.
作者
李岚清
岳阳
LI Lanqing;YUE Yang
出处
《城市规划》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2021年第9期23-34,94,共13页
City Planning Review
基金
福建省社会科学规划项目(FJ2019C058)
中央高校基本科研业务费项目(20720181041)
国家自然科学基金项目(71803165)。
关键词
多规合一
集约发展
空间管制
城市蔓延
国土空间规划
multi-plan integration
intensive development
space control
urban sprawl
territorial planning
