摘要
结合国家统计局宏观数据和全国农村固定观察点的微观农户数据,运用脱钩指数模型,分析了近年来农业补贴的成效和现实困境,实证检验了农业补贴强度与粮食生产的脱钩关系,并对不同粮食功能区进行了比较分析。研究发现:我国农业补贴政策体系的完善对保障粮食安全和抑制粮食价格波动等方面起到了积极作用;由于农业补贴对粮食增产等方面的激励作用逐步减弱,现行农业补贴政策较难满足不断提高粮食综合生产能力的战略要求;2010—2019年粮食主产区每亩补贴强度与粮食作物亩均净利润的关系经历了“强负脱钩—增长型不良脱钩—弱负脱钩”的变化,表明我国农业补贴力度不断增强,期间有力促进了农民收入增长。因此,我国农业补贴政策应按照与国际规则相适应、以绿色发展为导向的思路,进一步提高补贴的指向性和精准性,不断丰富农业补贴政策框架,并健全与乡村振兴相适应的农业补贴管理体制。
This article combines the macro data of the National Bureau of Statistics of China and the micro data of rural households from fixed observation points across China,and uses the decoupling index model to analyze the effectiveness and practical dilemmas of agricultural subsidies in recent years,and empirically tests the decoupling relationship between the agricultural subsidiese’intensity and food production.A comparative analysis is carried out on different grain functional areas.The research found that:First,the improvement of China’s agricultural subsidy policy system has played a positive role in ensuring food security and restraining food price fluctuations.Second,due to the gradual weakening of the incentive effect of agricultural subsidies on the increase of grain production,it is difficult for the current agricultural subsidy policy to meet the strategic requirements of continuously improving the comprehensive grain production capacity.Third,the relationship between the subsidy intensity per mu and the net profit per mu of grain crops in the main grain producing areas from 2010 to 2019 has undergone a change of“Strong negative decoupling-Expansive negative decoupling-Weak negative decoupling”,which shows that China’s agricultural subsidies continue to increase,and have effectively promoted the growth of farmers’income.In this regard,in the context of the food security strategy,this article believes that China’s agricultural subsidy policy should follow the idea of adapting to international rules and being guided by green development,further improving the directivity and accuracy of subsidies,and continuously enriching the agricultural subsidy policy framework,and improve the agricultural subsidy management system that is compatible with rural revitalization.
作者
高鸣
王颖
GAO Ming;WANG Ying(Rural Economic Research Center, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Areas, Beijing 100810, China;National Institute of Agricultural and Rural Development, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China)
出处
《华南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第5期14-26,共13页
Journal of South China Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目(71803094)
中央农办农业农村部乡村振兴专家咨询委员会软科学课题(202117)
中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2020M670575)
中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2020T130714)。
关键词
农业补贴
粮食生产
粮食安全
农民增收
agricultural subsidies
food production
food security
peasants’income growth
