摘要
为确定城市网约车与出租车的适度规模,促进网约车与出租车健康发展,基于协同演化理论,建立网约车和出租车在竞争、合作、竞合环境下的Lotka-Volterra演化模型,进行数据模拟仿真分析,确定不同环境下城市网约车与出租车达到平衡状态时的适度规模。结果表明:网约车与出租车的演化结果与竞争影响系数和合作效应系数有关;在竞争环境下,激烈的竞争导致劣势方被市场淘汰,优势方最终达到规模阈值;当竞争趋于缓和时,两者能在市场中达到平衡稳定后共存;在合作环境下,两者都有较大的发展空间,能更好地促进新旧业态的融合发展;在竞合环境下,两者的发展趋势与竞争环境下的发展趋势相似,但合作可以延缓劣势方的消亡速度。最后提出推动网约车与出租车公平竞争,兼顾新旧业态、促进融合发展的建议。
To determine the appropriate scale of urban online ride-hailing and taxi and to promote the healthy development,the Lotka-Volterra evolution model of online ride-hailing and taxi under the environment of competition,cooperation and co-opetition was established based on the co-evolution theory.The data simulation analysis was conducted to determine the appropriate scale of the online ride-hailing and the taxi in different environments when they reach the equilibrium state.The results show that the evolution of online ride-hailing and the taxi is related to the coefficient of competition and cooperation effect.In the competition environment,the fierce competition can eliminate the markets of disadvantage,and the dominant party finally reach the scale threshold.When the competition tends to ease,the two parties can achieve balance and stability in the market after the coexistence.In the cooperation environment,both of them have a large space for development,which can better promote the integration and development of new and old formats.In the co-opetition environment,the development trend of the two parties are similar to that of the competition environment,but cooperation can delay the extinction rate of the inferior party.Finally,it puts forward some suggestions to promote the fair competition between online ride-hailing and the taxi,give consideration to the old and new forms of business,and promote the integrated development.
作者
李兆磊
刘坤
孙启鹏
LI Zhao-lei;LIU Kun;SUN Qi-peng(School of Economics and Management,Chang'an University,Xi'an 710064,China;Center of Comprehensive Transport Economics and Management,Chang'an University,Xi'an 710064,China;School of Transportation Engineering,Chang'an University,Xi'an 710064,China)
出处
《交通运输系统工程与信息》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2021年第4期188-196,共9页
Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology
基金
陕西省自然科学基金(2020JM-257)
国家社会科学基金(17BJY139)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(300102230611)。
