摘要
在百年未有之大变局下,中美俄三角关系的地缘战略意义再度凸显,成为当前及今后一个时期影响国际战略格局与国际秩序演变的关键因素。随着中国实力持续上升,中美俄三国实力对比在动态变化中呈现新的平衡,三国战略角色定位发生变化,三角互动呈现竞争、合作、冲突、博弈等更为复杂的模式。中美矛盾成为三角关系发展的最主要矛盾,美俄关系竞合两分,中俄战略合作全面提升。未来一段时期,美国仍将在三角关系中处于相对优势地位;伴随中美战略竞争长期化,俄罗斯发挥平衡者作用的空间进一步增大,或在中美之间扮演有倾向的战略平衡者。
In the context of once-in-a-century great changes,the geopolitical significance of the China-US-Russia triangular relationship is once again highlighted,which has become a key factor affecting the international strategic landscape and the evolution of the international order for the time being and some time to come in the future.Meanwhile,as China's national strength is continuously rising,a new balance of power is emerging in the dynamic changes among China,the US and Russia,in which their respective strategic role is changing and their triangular interaction has become more complex featuring competition,cooperation,conflict and game.Contradictions between China and the US have become the primary contradiction in the development of the triangular relationship,while US-Russia relations feature a combination of competition and cooperation,and strategic cooperation between China and Russia has been elevated in an all-round way presenting a trend of joining hands to curb the US hegemony.In the future,the US will remain a dominant force in the triangular relationship,and with the strategic competition between China and the US becoming long-term,the space for Russia to act as a balancer is further growing.So,it is likely that Russia will play a role as an inclined strategic balancer between China and the United States.
作者
韩璐
刘飞涛
Han Lu;Liu Feitao(Associate Research Fellow and Deputy Director at the Department for European-Central Asian Studies,CISS;Senior Research Fellow and Director at the Department for World Economy and Development,CISS)
出处
《和平与发展》
CSSCI
2021年第4期26-46,135,136,139-142,共27页
Peace and Development
