摘要
为研究当前城市轨道交通PPP项目运营期的经营情况,更加科学有效地对其运营期风险进行评价,从城市轨道交通PPP项目的整体性和系统性出发,从政治法律、经济、市场、公私合作和技术5个方面构建了风险评价指标体系;采用C-OWA算子对评价指标进行科学加权,合理削弱了专家打分时个人主观因素的影响,很好地满足了公平性原则;结合可拓综合评价法建立了风险评估模型,并将模型应用于青岛地铁1号线工程项目,以验证所构建模型的的适用性和科学性。该模型有助于政府与社会资本全面深入地认识城市轨道交通PPP项目运营期存在的风险,并及时采取针对性措施进行控制和防范。
In order to study the current operation of PPP projects in urban rail transit,more scientifically and effectively evaluate its operational period risk,firstly,this paper starts from the integrity and systematization of PPP project of urban rail transit,and establishes a risk evaluation index system based on political law,economy,market,public-private cooperation and technology.Secondly,C-OWA operator is used to scientifically weight the evaluation index,which reasonably weakens the influence of subjective factors in expert scoring and satisfies the fairness principle.The risk assessment model is established by combining the extension synthetic evaluation method.Finally,the model is applied to Qingdao metro line 1 to verify the applicability and scientificity of the model.The research in this paper assists the government and social capital to fully and deeply understand the operational risks of PPP projects of urban rail transit,and takes timely measures to control and prevent them.
作者
王建波
张娜
王政权
WANG Jianbo;ZHANG Na;WANG Zhengquan(School of Management Engineering,Qingdao University of Technology,Qingdao 266000,China;University Research Center for Smart City Construction and Management of Shandong,Qingdao 266520,China)
出处
《沈阳建筑大学学报（社会科学版）》
2021年第3期270-277,共8页
Journal of Shenyang Jianzhu University:Social Science
基金
山东省重点研发计划(软科学项目)一般项目(2019RKB01459)。
关键词
城市轨道交通PPP项目
运营期
风险评价
C-OWA算子
可拓综合评价法
PPP project of urban rail transit
operating period
risk assessment
C-OWA operator
extension synthetic evaluation method
