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绿色建筑发展关键主体演化博弈模型与仿真 被引量:12

Evolutionary Game and Simulation of Key Subjects in Green Building Development
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摘要 基于政府、开发商和消费者三方关键主体,文章运用演化博弈理论与方法,分析了无政府参与以及政府参与下采取激励与惩罚双重机制下开发商和消费者动态博弈关系,运用VensimPLE系统动力学进行模拟仿真,对比研究了无政府参与以及政府激励与惩罚双重机制下的博弈策略选择。结果表明:政府治理在绿色建筑市场化推广中扮演着关键性作用,与单纯的政策激励或行政惩罚相比,政府激励与惩罚双重机制下开发商和消费者选择绿色建筑的倾向性更强,绿色建筑发展速度更快,实现供、需两端最优利益组合与利益均衡效率更高。政府激励与惩罚双重机制的建立有助于缓解政府财政压力,有利于推动绿色建筑向规模化与市场化方向快速发展。 Based on the key players of the government,developers and consumers,using evolutionary game theory and methods,the paper discusses the dynamic game relationship and strategy choice between developers and consumers under the dual mechanism of incentive and punishment without government participation and government participation,using the simulation of VensimPLE system dynamics,analyzing the results of the game under the dual mechanisms of no government participation,government incentives,governm-ent punishment,and government incentives and punishments.The results show that government governance plays a key role in the promotion of green building marketization.Compared with simple policy incentives or administrative penalties,developers and consumers have a higher tendency to choose green buildings under the dual mechanism of government incentives and penalties.The development of the building is faster,and it can achieve the optimal benefit combination and balance of benefits at both ends of supply and demand.The establishment of a dual mechanism of government incentives and punishments will help alleviate the government's financial pressure and help promote the rapid development of green buildings in the direction of scale and marketization.
作者 王波 廖方伟 张敬钦 WANG Bo;LIAO Fang-wei;ZHANG Jing-qin(School of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Southwest University of Science and Technology,Mianyang Sichuan 621010,China;School of Management,University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei Anhui 230026,China;School of Economics and Management,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu Sichuan 610031,China)
出处 《技术经济与管理研究》 北大核心 2021年第7期109-114,共6页 Journal of Technical Economics & Management
基金 国家自然科学基金项目(71841042) 四川省循环经济中心项目(XHJJ-1919) 绵阳市社科联项目(MY2020YB005) 西南科技大学博士基金项目(18ZX7161)。
关键词 绿色建筑 关键主体 演化博弈 激励与惩罚 Green building Key subject Evolutionary game Incentive and punishment
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