摘要
现代战争正逐步转向体系对抗,为了顺利实现系统集成并形成联合作战能力,需要在设计论证阶段筛选较为优化的体系架构方案,即选择合适的系统组合及其系统间的依赖关系。针对体系能力与组件系统能力的非线性关系,不确定性导致的体系能力降级风险以及成本约束等问题,提出基于功能依赖网络的体系能力计算法,基于条件风险价值的体系风险度量法以及基于系统工程全流程的体系成本估算法。由此构建“能力-风险-成本”的三维多属性权衡空间探索模型。以海上防空反导体系为例,明晰了权衡空间探索模型的构建步骤,验证了该方法的可行性和有效性,为作战体系建设过程中的方案选择提供了新思路。
The modern warfare is moving towards system-of-systems(SoS)confrontation.In order to achieve the joint combat capability via successful system integration,it is necessary to select optimized architecture alternatives that are often considered as system composition and their connections at the early design phase.The selection and decision of SoS architecture alternative are the critical part of weapon SoS concept design,the foundation of weapon SoS development and the initial step towards the integrated capability of SoS for future warfare.The SoS architecture can be considered as system composition and the interdependency between the systems.To address the problems of non-linear relationship between SoS capability and component system capability,SoS capability degradation risks due to uncertainties,and cost constraint,a SoS capability evaluation method based on functional dependency network,SoS risk analysis method based upon conditional value-at-risk,and SoS cost assessment method based on the entire systems engineering process are proposed.The three perspectives result in a capability-risk-cost multi-attribute tradespace exploration model.An application to a naval air and missile defense SoS demonstrates the implementation process of method as well as the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.Overall,the proposed method provides a new idea for the selection of architecture alternatives in the process of combat SoS development.
作者
袁刘鹏程
方哲梅
王剑波
秦肖臻
YUAN Liupengcheng;FANG Zhemei;WANG Jianbo;QIN Xiaozhen(School of Artificial Intelligence and Automation, HuazhongUniversity of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China;National Key Laboratory of Science & Technology on Multi-spectral Information Processing, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China;China Ship Development and Design Center, Wuhan 430064, China)
出处
《系统工程与电子技术》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2021年第8期2146-2153,共8页
Systems Engineering and Electronics
基金
华中科技大学自主创新基金(2019kfyXJJS17)资助课题。
关键词
体系架构
多属性权衡空间
能力-风险-成本
system-of-systems(SoS)architecture
multi-attribute tradespace exploration
capability-risk-cost
