摘要
近年来,随着重要农产品保障战略的逐步实施,党和国家十分重视食糖产业发展,食糖等战略性农产品的供需形势及价格走势越来越得到社会各界的关注。尤其是新冠肺炎疫情爆发以来,构建国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局显得至关重要,研究国内外食糖价格波动关系及规律势在必行。结合商务部等有关部门统计数据,利用经济学模型分析了国内外食糖价格波动规律及国内外价格变动的内在联系,并对价格走势进行了预测。研究发现,国际市场食糖价格对国内食糖价格影响程度在90%左右,国内食糖价格不足以影响国际市场食糖价格,即国内食糖产业在国际市场定价权不高。最后提出了准确把握低价糖进口契机、加强市场监测预警、提升食糖产业竞争力等对策建议。
In recent years,with the gradual implementation of important agricultural product protection strategy,the Party and the country have attached great importance to the development of the sugar industry.The supply and demand situation and price trends of sugar and other strategic agricultural products have attracted more and more attention from all walks of life.Especially since the outbreak of COVID-19,it is essential to build a new development pattern of mutual promotion of international and domestic double cycles.Therefore,it is imperative to study the relationship and law of sugar price fluctuations at home and abroad.Based on the statistics of the Ministry of Commerce and other relevant departments,this paper analyzed the law of sugar price fluctuations at home and abroad and the internal relationship between them by using economic model,and predicted the price trend.The study found that the impact of sugar price in the international market on domestic sugar price is about 90%,and domestic sugar price is not enough to affect the international market,that is,the pricing power of domestic sugar industry in the international market is not high.Finally,this paper put forward some countermeasures and suggestions,such as accurately grasping the opportunity of low price sugar import,strengthening market monitoring and early warning,and improving the competitiveness of sugar industry.
作者
高云
李婷君
宋彦亭
GAO Yun;LI Ting-jun;SONG Yan-ting(Institute of Agriculture and Rural Economic Operation,Academy of Agricultural Planning and Design,Planning and Design Institute,Beijing 100125)
出处
《价格月刊》
北大核心
2021年第7期34-39,共6页
基金
农业农村部规划设计研究院粮食等重要农产品供需形势监测与分析(编号:06190014)。
关键词
国内外
食糖
价格波动
at home and abroad
sugar price
price fluctuations
