摘要
The COVID-19 outbreak has already become a global pandemic and containing this rapid worldwide transmission is of great challenge.The impacts of temperature and humidity on the COVID-19 transmission rate are still under discussion.Here,we elucidated these relationships by utilizing two unique scenarios,repeated measurement and natural experiment,using the COVID-19 cases reported from January 23–February 21,2020,in China.The modeling results revealed that higher temperature was most strongly associated with decreased COVID-19 transmission at a lag time of 8 days.Relative humidity(RH)appeared to have only a slight effect.These findings were verified by assessing SARSCoV-2 infectivity under the relevant conditions of temperature(4C–37C)and RH(>40%).We concluded that temperature increase made an important,but not determined,contribution to restrain the COVID19 outbreak in China.It suggests that the emphasis of other effective controlling polices should be strictly implemented to restrain COVID19 transmission in cold seasons.
基金
We would like to express our gratitude for discussions with the researchers from the environmental exposure and human health working group of the China Cohort Consortium(http://chinacohort.bjmu.edu.cn/),as well as special thanks to Dr.Ping Zhong and Dr.Wentao Wang for their instructive guidance.This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program,P.R.China(Grant No.2020YFC0846300 and 2020YFC0846200)
the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41771527,41922057).
