摘要
受气候变化和人类活动的双重影响,流域/区域径流量发生了明显改变。分析气候变化和人类活动影响下的径流时空变化特征,并量化分解两者对径流的影响,已成为水文学领域研究的热点。综述了径流演变趋势检验方法和归因分析方法的研究进展,归纳具有代表性的国内外研究成果,总结各类方法的优势、局限性及应用范围,进一步指出该领域研究的薄弱环节和未来研究趋势,提出利用高新技术手段加强对极端水文事件和无资料地区的径流演变研究,探索气候变化和人类活动对径流演变的驱动机理。
Variations in streamflow are influenced by climate change and human activities.Hydrological research has been focused on analy⁃zing the spatial and temporal variability of streamflow and quantifying their responses to climate change and human activities.This paper sum⁃marized the research advances of the methods of trend detection and attribution analysis for streamflow variation.Meanwhile,the representa⁃tive research results at home and abroad had been reviewed.Advantages,limitations and applications of different methods also had been dis⁃cussed.Finally,it further pointed out the weaknesses in this field and development trend of future research.It is necessary to strengthen the study of streamflow variation in extreme hydrological events and areas without data by means of high and new technology.Additionally,the driving mechanism of climate change and human activities on streamflow variation remain to be explored.
作者
慕星
赵勇
刘欢
何国华
MU Xing;ZHAO Yong;LIU Huan;HE Guohua(State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin,China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research State,Beijing 100038,China;Beijing Institute of Water,Beijing 100048,China)
出处
《人民黄河》
CAS
北大核心
2021年第5期35-41,共7页
Yellow River
基金
国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFC0401407)。
关键词
气候变化
人类活动
径流演变
趋势检验
归因分析
climate change
human activities
streamflow variation
trend detection
attribution analysis
