摘要
文章基于贸易增加值分解模型从生产端和需求端评估了中国制造业价值链的稳定性和竞争力。研究发现,中国制造业GVC收入主要基于国内大循环产生,外部冲击的影响有限,产业链供应链的稳定性能够基本保持,并且竞争力稳步提升,但须首要警惕美国政策变动产生的波动,其对中国的影响较大。另外,从产业角度看,中国制造业价值链的稳定性和竞争力主要取决于低技术制造业和高技术制造业,特别是高技术制造业。因此,稳定国内市场和高技术制造业是当下的首要举措。
Based on the decomposition model of trade value added, this paper evaluates the stability and competitiveness of China’s manufacturing value chain from the perspective of production and demand. It is found that China’s manufacturing GVC income is mainly generated based on the domestic cycle, so the impact of external shocks is limited, the stability of the industrial chain and supply chain can be basically maintained, and the competitiveness of high-tech manufacturing industry is steadily improving. However, we must be alert to the fluctuation generated by the United States, which has a greater impact on China. In addition, from the perspective of industry, the stability and competitiveness of China’s manufacturing value chain mainly depend on low-technology manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing, especially high-tech manufacturing. Therefore, the first step is to stabilize the domestic market and high-tech manufacturing.
作者
张淑芹
王玉凤
ZHANG Shu-qin;WANG Yu-feng(Qingdao Party School of CPC(Qingdao Administrative College),Qingdao Shandong 266071,China;Audit Research Institute,National Audit Office of the People's Republic of China,Beijing 100086,China)
出处
《技术经济与管理研究》
北大核心
2021年第2期89-94,共6页
Journal of Technical Economics & Management
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(17BJL080)。
