摘要
为防范系统性风险,我国推出了宏观审慎政策工具,该工具在协同货币政策实施中对影子银行的传导通道效应有什么样的影响成为本文关注的焦点。通过观察影子银行信贷扩张的现实特征,基于2002年1月至2019年12月的样本数据,运用结构向量自回归(SVAR)模型,对比检验在有无宏观审慎工具协同情境下,影子银行对货币政策有效性的影响程度。研究发现,单独使用货币政策调控信贷时,影子银行信贷规模迅速扩张,致使央行统计的货币供应量与实际货币供应量出现较大偏离,降低了货币政策有效性;当宏观审慎政策工具协同货币政策工具使用时,影子银行信贷规模可以得到控制,并减少了对货币政策有效性的不利影响。
China has introduced macro-prudential policy tool to guard against systemic risks.The article focuses on the impact on shadow banking's transmission channel caused by the implementation of the policy tool and monetary policy.Based on the sample data from January 2002 to December 2019,two structural vector autoregressive(SVAR)models were established to compare the impact of shadow banking on the effectiveness of monetary policy with or without macro-prudential policy.The study found that when monetary policy is used alone to control credit,the scale of shadow banking credit expands rapidly,resulting in a large deviation between the money supply calculated by the central bank and the actual money supply,which reduces the effectiveness of monetary policy.When monetary policy and macro-prudential policy are used together,the scale of shadow banking credit is controlled and the negative impact on the effectiveness of monetary policy is reduced.
作者
王千红
陈伯威
Wang Qianhong;Chen Bowei(Glorious Sun School of Business and Management,Donghua University,Shanghai 200051,China)
出处
《金融理论探索》
2021年第1期3-16,共14页
Exploration of Financial Theory
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“宏观经济波动下的动态复杂银行网络系统稳定性及宏观审慎监管研究”(71971054)。
关键词
影子银行
货币政策有效性
宏观审慎政策
货币供应量
shadow banking
effectiveness of monetary policy
macro-prudential policy
money supply
