摘要
作为21世纪丝绸之路经济带的重要民族地区和衔接门户,广西出口贸易对其生产总值的影响日益显著。运用1999—2018年相关数据,在出口拓展型生产函数的基础上,综合图表分析、ADF检验、Johansen检验、回归分析和Granger检验等方法,对广西出口贸易额、社会从业人员、固定资本投入和生产总值进行实证检验,得出广西出口贸易和固定投资均对广西生产总值具有显著作用,而社会从业人员对经济增长的作用不显著。基于实证分析结果,对“一带一路”倡议下的广西出口贸易可提出相关发展建议。
As an important ethnic region and gateway of the 21st century Silk Road Economic Belt,Guangxi's export trade has a more and more significant impact on its GDP.Through the relevant data of Guangxi from 1999 to 2018,mainly based on the export expansion production function,combined with the methods of chart analysis,ADF test,Johansen test,regression analysis and Granger test,this paper makes an empirical test on Guangxi's export volume,social employees,fixed capital investment and its GDP,and concludes that Guangxi's export trade and fixed investment are to a certain extent All of them have significant effect on the GDP of Guangxi,while the social employees have no significant effect on economic growth.One belt,one road,is put forward based on the results of the empirical analysis,and provides some references for the development of export trade in other minority areas to stimulate economic growth in Guangxi.
作者
严善美
刘秀玲
李国鹏
Yan Shanmei;Liu Xiuling;Li Guopeng(Dalian National University,Dalian Liaoning 116600)
出处
《对外经贸》
2021年第2期44-50,共7页
FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE
基金
国家社会科学基金(编号:20BMZ101)。
