摘要
使用因子分析方法对新疆城乡融合发展水平进行测度研究。建立VAR模型,采用脉冲响应和方差分解对新疆城乡融合发展水平与经济空间发展水平之间关系进行实证研究。研究表明:新疆城乡融合水平在2003—2018年之间呈现稳步上升的趋势,城乡之间的经济、人口、社会生活和资源环境对城乡融合发展水平产生不同的影响。新疆城乡融合发展水平与经济发展水平存在长期均衡和因果关系,在中短期内,两者之间是互相促进、相互影响的,而从长期来看,城乡融合发展水平对经济发展影响有限。
This paper uses factor analysis method to measure the development level of urban-rural integration in Xinjiang.The VAR model was established to conduct an empirical study on the relationship between the level of urban-rural integration development and the level of economic spatial development in Xinjiang by using impulse response and variance decomposition.The research shows that the level of urban-rural integration in Xinjiang presents a steady rising trend from 2003 to 2018,and the economy,population,social life and resources and environment between urban and rural areas have different influences on the level of urban-rural integration development.There is a long-term equilibrium and causal relationship between the level of urban-rural integrated development and the level of economic development in Xinjiang.In the short and medium term,they promote and influence each other,but in the long term,the level of urban-rural integrated development has limited influence on the economic development.
作者
武赛龙
郭文强
Wu Sailong;Guo Wenqiang(School of Information Management,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,Xinjiang,China)
基金
新疆财经大学研究生科研项目“乡村振兴背景下西北地区城乡融合与经济发展协调研究”(XJUFE2020K046)的阶段性成果。
关键词
新疆
城乡融合发展
经济发展水平
测度研究
VAR模型
Xinjiang
urban-rural integration
economic development level
measurement research
VAR model
