摘要
轻工业实现绿色发展、低碳转型不仅可以推动我国工业节能减排进程的加快,从而促进我国应对气候变化能力的提高,还可以倒逼我国居民消费方式的低碳转型。利用脱钩理论分析轻工业碳排放与行业经济增长的脱钩状态,对轻工业16个细分行业碳排放的影响因素进行LMDI模型分解,研究结果表明:我国轻工产业工业总值与碳排放之间的脱钩状态主要以弱脱钩状态为主,但是与低碳的强脱钩状态还有一定差距;除了化学纤维制造业由于行业性质以非脱钩状态为主,其他行业脱钩次数均在70%以上;在2008年到2016年期间轻工产业逐年总效应呈现出正负效应交替出现的特征,其中就业规模因素、人均产值因素和能源强度因素对轻工产业碳排放增长起到了促进作用;农副食品加工业、纺织业和造纸业等行业在五个影响因素方面表现突出,正、负向作用都比较明显,贡献率较大。
Green development and low-carbon transformation of light industry can not only accelerate the process of energy conservation and emission reduction in chinese industry,but also improve chinese ability to cope with climate change.Moreover,it can force the low-carbon transformation of the consumption mode of chinese residents.In this paper,decoupling theory is used to analyze the decoupling status of the carbon emission of light industry and the economic growth.Furthermore,LMDI model decomposition is carried out on the influencing factors of carbon emission in 16 subsectors of light industry.The research results show that:①The total industrial value of chinese light industry and carbon emission is mainly in a weak decoupling status,but there is still a certain gap between its strong decoupling state with low carbon.②Except the industry of chemical fiber manufacturing,which is mainly in the non-decoupling state,the decoupling times of other industries are all over 70%.③From 2008 to 2016,the total effect of light industry presents the characteristics of positive and negative effects alternately year by year,among which the factors of employment scale,output value per capita and energy intensity play a role in promoting the growth of carbon emission of light industry.④Farm and sideline food processing industry,textile industry,paper industry and several other industries are prominently affected by the five influencing factors.Both positive and negative effects are relatively obvious with a large contribution rate.
作者
兰梓睿
LAN Zirui(Institute for Resource Environmental and Ecological Studies,Tianjin Academy of Social Sciences,Tianjin 300191,China)
出处
《郑州航空工业管理学院学报》
2021年第1期17-28,共12页
Journal of Zhengzhou University of Aeronautics
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(16AGL002)
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(16JZD014)
天津社会科学院青年项目(20YQN-05)。
关键词
轻工业
碳排放
脱钩理论
LMDI模型
light industry
carbon emissions
decoupling theory
LMDI model
