摘要
根据1952~2017年中国时间序列数据和1978~2017年30个省(市)的面板数据,建立了参数随时间变化的状态空间模型,将传统的固定弹性C-D生产函数转换为动态弹性展开分析。利用全国和各省(市)的资本和劳动力贡献动态变化,对比了中国三大地区之间、区域内各省(市)之间的要素禀赋和产业结构差异。研究发现:(1)改革开放是中国产业转型的关键时点,生产要素贡献的变迁对应着全国产业结构的升级;(2)资本和劳动力的经济贡献随着时间变化都有对应相反的波动关系,最终稳定在一定水平;(3)不同时期、不同地区的要素禀赋会影响其产业结构,最终带来经济发展差异。
Based on China’s time series data from 1952 to 2017 and panel data from 30 provinces(cities)from 1978 to 2017,a state space model with parameters varying with time was established,and the traditional fixed elastic C-D production function was converted into dynamic elasticity for analysis.Using the dynamic changes in capital and labor contributions,and comparing the endowment and industrial structure differences among the three regions in China and between provinces(cities)in the region.The study found that:(1)reform and opening up is a key time point for China’s industrial transformation,and the changes in the contribution of production factors correspond to the upgrading of the national industrial structure;(2)the economic contribution of capital and labor has a corresponding fluctuation relationship with time,and eventually stabilizes at a certain level;(3)factor endowments in different periods and different regions will affect its industrial structure and eventually bring about differences in economic development.
作者
熊德斌
李佳欢
XIONG De-bin(School of Economics,Guizhou University,Guizhou Guiyang 550025,China)
出处
《国土与自然资源研究》
2021年第1期38-46,共9页
Territory & Natural Resources Study
基金
2019年度贵州大学经济学院研究生创新基金(CJ201935)。
关键词
生产要素
C-D生产函数
状态空间模型
地区差异
Factors of production
C-D production function
State space model,Regional differences
