摘要
对上海轨道交通网络2035年的运能与需求开展预测分析与对比分析,识别上海轨道交通网络未来运能紧张区段。基于未来运能紧张区段的站间客流(OD)预测和周边情况预测,对上海轨道交通网络未来运能紧张区段开展应对策略研究,提出相关对策建议。研究成果可为上海轨道交通网络未来运能紧张区段的应对策略制定提供参考。
Prediction analysis and comparison analysis of capacity and demand of Shanghai rail transit network in 2035 are carried out,to map out the Shanghai rail transit sections with potential capacity shortage problem in the future.Based on the prediction of the interstation OD and surrounding conditions of these sections with potential capacity shortage in the future,research for countermeasures is conducted targeting the Shanghai rail transit network future capacity shortage sections,and suggestions for relevant countermeasures are put forward.The research results can provide reference for determining the response plan for Shanghai rail transit network future capacity shortage sections.
作者
王治
陆静
范雪岩
付意庄
王思韬
赵薇
WANG Zhi;LU Jing;FAN Xueyan;FU Yizhuang;WANG Sitao;ZHAO Wei(State Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering,Tongji University,201804,Shanghai,China;不详)
出处
《城市轨道交通研究》
北大核心
2020年第12期13-18,共6页
Urban Mass Transit
关键词
上海轨道交通网络
运能缺口
运能预测
应对策略
Shanghai rail transit network
capacity shortage
capacity prediction
countermeasures
