摘要
随着电力市场改革的深入推进以及经济社会不断发展,以泛在电力物联网为关键词的电网投资迎来新一轮的机遇。基于1993年至2018年中国电网投资与GDP基础数据,运用Eviews8.0分析工具,使用协整分析方法,分析中国电网投资与经济增长之间的关系。通过分析发现,中国经济增长和电网投资之间存在长期协整关系,GDP增长是电网投资增加的格兰杰原因,电网投资与经济增长之间存在大约0.73的估计弹性关系。提出电网投资应跟随国内生产总值变动情况进行调整这一结论。
With the reform of the power market and the continuous development of the economy and society,the grid investment will face a new round of opportunities with the key words of ubiquitous power internet of things.Based on the basic data of China's grid investment and GDP from 1993 to 2018,this paper uses Eviews 8.0 analysis tool and co-integration analysis method to analyze the relationship between China's grid investment and economic growth.Through the analysis,it is found that there is a long-term co-integration relationship between China's economic growth and grid investment.GDP growth is the Granger cause of the increase in grid investment.There is an estimated elasticity of about 0.73 between grid investment and economic growth.The conclusion is that the investment in power grid should be adjusted with the change of GDP.
作者
安玉兴
AN Yu-xing(School of Economics and Management,Shenyang Institute of Engineering,Shenyang 110136,China)
出处
《沈阳工程学院学报（社会科学版）》
2021年第1期43-49,共7页
Journal of Shenyang Institute of Engineering:Social Science
基金
沈阳市社科规划基金重点论文项目(SZ202003L)
辽宁省社科规划基金项目(L14BJY031)
辽宁省教育厅项目(JW-1901)
辽宁省经济社会发展研究课题(2020lslktyb-068)
辽宁省科协科技创新智库项目(LNKX2020C05)。
