摘要
中国广义货币供应量增长幅度较大,导致了通货膨胀。通过对货币供应量的研究,可以分析出国民经济的波动,考察货币对经济的影响,有利于加强央行对经济的调控。为了研究货币供应量的影响,研究了8种影响因素,用一种基于自回归误差模型的自适应Lasso进行变量选择,得出影响货币供应的因素有货运量、居民消费指数、准货币供应量和粮油类价格指数。
China’s broad money supply has grown by a large margin,which has led to inflation in China.Through the study of the money supply,we can analyze the fluctuations of the national economy,examine the impact of the currency on the economy,and help strengthen the central bank’s regulation of the economy.In order to study the influencing factors of money supply,eight kinds of influencing factors are studied.Using an adaptive Lasso based on autoregressive error model to select variables,the factors affecting the money supply are freight volume,household consumption index and standard.Money supply and grain and oil price index.
作者
邢蕾
路征
XING Lei;LU Zheng(School of Mathematics and Statistics, Changchun University of Technology, Changchun 130012, China)
出处
《长春工业大学学报》
CAS
2020年第5期417-422,共6页
Journal of Changchun University of Technology
基金
国家自然科学基金青年科学基金资助项目(11901055)。