摘要
近年来,在“一带一路”和西方对俄经济制裁的大背景下,中俄两国的农产品贸易额快速增长,特别是俄罗斯对中国农产品出口额屡创历史新高。利用2003—2017年中俄双边农产品出口的相关数据,测度两国农产品贸易的二元边际,分析两国农产品出口集约边际和扩展边际的变化趋势,研究中俄农产品贸易二元边际的影响因素。研究结果表明:扩展边际会大幅增加中俄两国农产品贸易;相较于俄罗斯对中国的农产品出口而言,中国对俄罗斯农产品出口的集约边际更高,扩展边际更低;经济规模和生产效率对中俄双边农产品出口的集约边际产生正向影响,对扩展边际产生负向影响;年虚拟变量对中俄农产品出口的集约边际和扩展边际均产生显著的正向影响。因此,政府应拓展农产品种类,鼓励中小企业创新,培育优质农产品品牌,并继续积极推行“一带一路”倡议,促进中俄农产品出口。
In recent years,in the context of“belt and road”and western sanctions against Russia,the trade volume of agricultural products between China and Russia has grown rapidly,especially the export amount of Russian agricultural products has hit a record high.Based on relevant data of bilateral agricultural exports from 2003 to 2017,this paper measures the dual margins of agricultural product trade between China and Russia,analyzes the changing trends of the intensive margin and extensive margin of agricultural exports of the two countries and studies the influencing factors for dual margins of Sino-Russian agricultural product trade.The results show that extensive margin greatly enhances the growth of agricultural product trade between China and Russia;compared with Russia's agricultural exports to China,those of China's to Russia have a higher intensive margin and a lower extensive margin;economic scale and production efficiency have a positive impact on the intensive margin and a negative impact on the extensive margin;annual dummy variable has a significant positive effect on both the intensive margin and the extensive margin.Accordingly,the government should expand categories of agricultural exports,encourage the innovation of small and medium-sized enterprises and actively promote the“Belt and Road”Initiative to enhance Sino-Russian agricultural product trade.
作者
王领
张眉
Wang Ling;Zhang Mei
出处
《常州大学学报（社会科学版）》
2020年第6期61-68,共8页
Journal of Changzhou University:Social Science Edition
关键词
农产品贸易
中国
俄罗斯
二元边际
agricultural product trade
China
Russia
dual margins
