摘要
本文实证计算山东省改革开放以来经济增长中的劳动结构效应。首先,利用指数的增量分析方法,通过按因素影响比例分解分配共变效应,将劳动结构效应从经济增长中直接分离出来。其次,利用这一方法计算1982~1988年山东省劳动结构效应为0.5430,对经济增长的贡献率高达43.0%;1991~1995年和2003~2008年分别为0.1875和0.2959,对经济增长的贡献率分别为16.6%和24.3%。未来山东省第一、二产业劳动力向第三产业转移还有较大的潜力和空间,劳动结构效应仍将是经济增长的一个重要来源。
This paper empirically calculates the effect of labor structure in Shandong s economic growth since the reform and opening up.Firstly,uses the incremental analysis method of index to directly separate the labor structure effect from the economic growth by decomposing and distributing the covariation effect according to the proportion of the factors.Secondly,uses this method to calculate the labor structure effect of 0.5430 in Shandong province from 1982 to 1988,which contributes as much as 43.0%to economic growth.It is 0.1875 in 1991-1995 and 0.2959 in 2003-2008,contributing 16.6%and 24.3%to economic growth,respectively.In the future,there is still great potential and space for the transfer of labor force from primary and secondary industries to the tertiary industry in Shandong province,and the labor structure effect will still be an important source of economic growth.
出处
《经济动态与评论》
2019年第2期128-144,215,共18页
Review of Economic Trends
关键词
劳动结构效应
经济增长
指数分离方法
the Labor Structure Effect
Economic Growth
Segregation Index
Empirical Calculation
