摘要
利用2010至2019年期间全国晒烟种植面积、收购量以及国内外市场的调研数据资料,对全国晒烟生产和市场供求关系变化趋势进行综合分析。结果表明,全国晒烟种植面积和收购量总体呈"先上升-后下降"趋势,年份间晒黄烟波动大于其他类型晒烟。2013年以后,各类晒烟种植面积和收购量均呈下降趋势,但香料烟下降速度相对平缓,2019年晒烟规模只有2010年的43.4%。各类晒烟种植面积和收购量占比变化趋势是香料烟不断上升,其他类型持续下降。2013年,晒黄烟、晒红烟、香料烟和黄花烟种植面积占比分别为34.4%、30.3%、33.3%和2.0%,到2019年分别为22.7%、27.4%、49.7%和0.2%。近年来,各类晒烟在国内外市场的销量逐年下降,客户和需求在持续减少,供应国外市场的主要是云南晒黄烟(生切烟丝)和香料烟,其他产区基本没有出口销量。晒烟生产的持续萎缩与出口需求下降与国产混合型卷烟产量减少有一定关系。地方晒烟是我国重要的烟草制品原料,未来市场仍有很大潜力,建议各地应保护好、利用好这些种质资源,合理组织烟叶生产。
The change trends of production and market supply-demand relationship of sun-cured tobacco leaves were analyzed synthetically by using survey data of planting areas,purchase quantity,market demand of tobaccos in China from 2010 to 2019.The results showed that there was a first up,then down trend in total planting area and purchasing volume of nationwide sun-cured tobaccos in spite of larger fluctuation for the dark sun-cured tobaccos than the other types between years.After 2013,there was a going-down trend in the two items of all type sun-cured tobaccos but a gently fall rate for oriental tobaccos.The planting scale of the sun-cured tobaccos in 2019 was 43.4%of that in 2010.The percentage of oriental tobacco was rising in total planting area and purchasing volume of nationwide sun-cured tobaccos,whereas that of the other types was falling.The percentage of sun-cured yellow,dark,oriental and rustica tobacco in total planting area in 2013 was 34.4%,30.3%,33.3%and 2.0%separately,while in 2019 was 22.7%,27.4%,49.7%and 0.2%.The sales of all sun-cured tobacco types dropped yearly in domestic and foreign markets as well as a gradual reduction for client and demand.The sun-cured tobaccos exported to foreign countries were mainly the fresh-cut sun-cured tobaccos and oriental tobaccos from Yunnan province with few exports from other growing regions.The drop of production of sun-cured tobaccos was certainly related to the declination of leave export volume and blend cigarette yields at home.It was suggested that there is a great potentiality in the future market for sun-cured tobaccos.Accordingly,the protection and use of raw material resources of different sun-cured tobacco types should be strengthened.
作者
闫新甫
罗安娜
王欣
孔劲松
李玉辉
YAN Xinfu;LUO Anna;WANG Xin;KONG Jinsong;LI Yuhui(State Tobacco Monopoly Administration,Beijing 100045,China;China National Tobacco Quality Supervision&Test Center,Zhengzhou 450001,China;Tobacco Research Institute of Hubei Province,Wuhan 430030,China;Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Company of CNTC,Nanning 530022,China;Hunan Provincial Company of CNTC,Changsha 410004,China)
出处
《中国烟草科学》
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第5期97-104,共8页
Chinese Tobacco Science
关键词
晒烟
生产
市场供求变化
趋势
sun-cured tobaccos
production
market demand and supply change
trend
