摘要
当前国际原油低价徘徊,一度跌至负油价,引发了大家对煤化工发展前景的忧虑。本文从现代煤化工发展历史、技术开发周期、经济发展趋势、大国政治博弈等多角度分析,认为当前是开发现代煤化工技术的最佳时期,预计在未来10年内,会迎来煤化工产业发展的新机遇期。为迎接新一轮煤化工发展高峰,应当抓住低油价的有力时期,布局开发下一代煤化工技术,努力做好技术和产业储备,具体对策建议包括:扎实做好现有煤制油、煤制烯烃等产业技术优化和升级;大力开拓煤制烯烃、芳烃新材料高端化、差异化的产业链,积极探索煤制含氧化合物产品的新工艺新方法等。
As the global crude oil price has been low and even was negative for a time,people begin to worry about the development prospect of the coal chemical industry.This article makes an analysis from vari⁃ous perspectives such as the development history of the modern coal chemical industry,technical develop⁃ment cycle,economic development trends,political games among great powers,etc.and holds that now is the best time to develop the modern coal chemical technology and that the coal chemical industry will have new development opportunities within about 10 years in the future.Therefore,to embrace such a develop⁃ment peak of the coal chemical industry,the development of the next generation coal chemical technology shall be laid out and the technical reserves and industry reserves shall be built by use of the low oil price.The specific countermeasures and suggestions include truly optimizing and upgrading the current technology in the coal-to-liquids industry,coal-to-olefins industry,and other industries,vigorously developing the highend and differentiated industry chains of the new coal-to-olefins and coal-to-arenes materials,actively ex⁃ploring the new processes and new methods of the coal-to-oxy-compounds products,etc.
作者
门卓武
李初福
李井峰
Men Zhuowu;Li Chufu;Li Jingfeng(National Institute of Clean-and-low-carbon Energy,Beijing,102209;CHN ENERGY Investment Group Co.,LTD,Beijing,100011)
出处
《能源科技》
2020年第8期60-62,67,共4页
Energy Science and Technology
关键词
煤制烯烃和芳烃
煤制含氧化合物
高端化差异化
coal-to-olefins and coal-to-arenes
coal-to-oxy-compounds
high-end and differentiated
