摘要
选取秦巴山区商洛市2013-2018年核桃产业发展的经验数据,通过构建评价模型,从产业投入集中度和产出集中度2个维度评价商洛市核桃产业的规模特征,从产业收入依存度和贡献率2个维度评价其对经济增长的贡献,采用OLS回归模型分析核桃产业对GDP的带动效应。结果表明:秦巴山区商洛市核桃产业的规模特征和经济效应显著,呈现出逐年增长的发展趋势。结合商洛市核桃产业的发展现状,从紧抓政策机遇、加快内涵发展和扩大品牌优势3个方面提出政策建议。
Based on experience data of walnut industry development in Shangluo from 2013 to 2018 in Qinba mountain area,scale characteristics of walnut industry in Shangluo from two dimensions of industrial input concentration and output concentration were evaluated,its contribution to economic growth from two dimensions of industrial income dependence and contribution rate was also evaluated,and OLS regression model was used to analyze driving effect of walnut industry on GDP.Results showed that scale characteristics and economic effects of walnut industry in Shangluo were significant,showing a trend of increasing year by year.Combined with current situation of walnut industry in Shangluo city,policy suggestions were put forwand from three aspects:grasping policy opportunities,accelerating connotation development and expanding brand advantages.
作者
郭萌
王怡
GUO Meng;WANG Yi(Faculty of Economics and Management,Shangluo University,Shangluo Shaanxi 726000,China;International Business School,Shaanxi Normal University,Xi’an Shaanxi 710119,China)
出处
《农业工程》
2020年第6期124-128,共5页
AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING
基金
陕西省社会科学基金研究项目(项目编号:2019S040)
陕西省社科界重大理论与现实问题重大研究项目(项目编号:2019XY014)
陕西省创新能力支撑计划项目(项目编号:2020KRM196)
国家级大学生创新创业训练计划项目(项目编号:201911396018X)。
关键词
核桃产业
规模特征
经济效应
walnut industry
scale characteristics
economic effect
