摘要
基于1998—2019年《中国统计年鉴》的数据,通过单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验,分析了国际贸易对中国消费结构调整的具体影响。研究发现:国际贸易是影响我国消费结构的重要因素且具有城乡差异,即农村地区的影响更加显著;国际贸易对消费结构的影响存在显著的外溢效应,即现阶段出口额的增加会恶化居民消费结构,而进口额的增加会改善居民的消费结构;城镇、农村居民收入对恩格尔系数的影响均为正向,即提高居民收入能够有效优化居民消费结构、促进消费结构升级;在一定条件下出口是农村恩格尔系数的格兰杰原因,能够显著影响消费结构。
Based on the data of China Statistical Yearbook from 1998 to 2019,this paper analyzes the specific impact of international trade on China's consumption structure adjustment through unit root test,co-integration test and Granger causality test.The results show that international trade is an important factor affecting China's consumption structure and has difference between urban and rural areas,that is,the impact on rural areas is more significant.International trade has a significant spillover effect on the consumption structure.The increase of export will worsen the consumption structure of residents,while the increase of import will improve the consumption structure of residents.The impact of urban and rural residents'income on Engel coefficient is positive,that is,increasing residents'income can effectively optimize residents'consumption structure and promote consumption structure upgrading.Under certain conditions,export is the Granger cause of rural Engel coefficient,which can significantly affect the consumption structure.
作者
刘望
曹思敏
LIU Wang;CAO Si-min(School of Business, Xiangtan University, Xiangtan, Hunan 411105;School of Management, Hunan Institute of Engineering, Xiangtan, Hunan 411101, China)
出处
《湘潭大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第5期75-79,共5页
Journal of Xiangtan University:Philosophy And Social Sciences
基金
国家社科基金后期资助项目“国际贸易与经济结构调整——基于中国的理论与实证”(18FJL021)
湖南省社科基金委托项目“国际贸易与中国城乡二元经济结构调整研究”(18WTC31)。
关键词
国际贸易
消费结构
恩格尔系数
international trade
consumption structure
Engel coefficient
