摘要
茶叶产业是江西省的传统优势产业。近年来江西省茶叶产量和贸易出口额不断增加,整体上呈现出良好的发展态势。文章利用国际市场占有率、出口贡献率、显示性比较优势指数等指标,测算江西省茶叶出口竞争力,并与其他7个产茶大省进行比较,发现江西省茶叶出口竞争力较低,而且近年来出口贡献率和显示性比较优势指数呈逐年下降趋势。文章利用包含江西省在内的我国8个产茶大省2005~2018年的面板数据构建了茶叶出口竞争力影响因素的实证分析模型,采用面板校正标准误方法和全面可行广义最小二乘方法对包含省份固定效应和时间固定效应的双向固定效应模型进行了回归。结果显示:以企业规模以上单位数为代表的相关产业发展以及企业战略竞争因素对茶叶出口竞争力的正向促进作用较大;而初级生产要素则不足以成为阻碍江西省茶叶出口竞争力提升的因素;作为需求条件代理指标的实际人均收入对茶叶出口竞争力具有负向影响;政府支持和机会等对国际市场占有率具有正向影响,但对茶叶出口贡献率和显示性比较优势指数的作用不显著。针对江西省茶叶出口竞争力的定量分析及其影响因素的实证分析结果,提出一系列对策建议,以期助力提升江西省的茶叶出口竞争力。
Tea industry is the traditional advantage industry of Jiangxi Province.In recent years,the output of tea and the export volume of trade in Jiangxi Province have been increasing,showing a relatively good development trend as a whole.This paper used the international market share,export contribution rate and revealed comparative advantage index to calculate tea export competitiveness in Jiangxi Province,and compared it with seven major tea-producing provinces.The results showed that:tea export competitiveness in Jiangxi Province is relatively low,and in recent years,the export contribution rate and the revealed comparative advantage index are declining year by year.Based on the panel data of eight major tea-producing provinces including Jiangxi Province from 2005 to 2018,this paper constructed an empirical analysis model of the infl uencing factors of tea export competitiveness,and used the panel correction standard error method and the comprehensive feasible generalized least square method to regress the two-way fi xed eff ect model including the fi xed eff ect of provinces and the fi xed eff ect of time.The results showed that:the development of related industries and enterprise strategic and competition factors represented by number of enterprises above designated size have a great positive effect on the competitiveness of tea export,while the primary production factors are not enough to hinder the competitiveness of tea export in Jiangxi Province.The actual per capita income as the proxy index of demand conditions has a negative effect on the competitiveness of tea export.Government policies and opportunities have positive impact on international market share,but have no signifi cant impact on tea export contribution rate and revealed comparative advantage index.Based on the quantitative analysis on tea export competitiveness in Jiangxi Province and the empirical analysis results of its infl uencing factors,this paper put forward a series of countermeasures and suggestions to help improve tea export competitive
作者
行怀勇
曹艳乔
Xing Huaiyong;Cao Yanqiao(School of Economics,Qingdao Agricultural University,Qingdao 266109)
出处
《林业经济》
北大核心
2020年第5期76-86,共11页
Forestry Economics
基金
山东省软科学研究计划项目“新旧动能转换背景下政府补贴促进山东省科技创新型企业成长的路径与对策”(编号:2018RKB01124)
青岛市社会科学规划项目“新旧动能转换背景下政府补贴促进青岛市创新型企业成长的路径与对策”(编号:QDSKL1801175)。
关键词
茶叶出口
竞争力
影响因素
实证分析
tea export
competitiveness
infl uencing factors
empirical analysis
