摘要
以1998年实施的“两控区”政策作为一次自然实验,采用1995-2016年地级以上城市市辖区数据为样本,运用双重差分法对“两控区”政策的环境、经济以及社会效应进行实证研究。结果表明,实施“两控区”政策后,相比非“两控区”城市而言,二氧化硫(SO2)的排放得到明显改善。经济效应在一线城市最显著,产业结构调整作用明显,第一、二产业的发展明显减弱,第三产业则相反,而二、三、四、五线城市的变化则没有太明显,相对保持原先的状态。社会效应在各线城市效果各异,第一产业在一线城市的就业显著降低,第二产业在五线城市的就业显著上升,第三产业在一线城市的就业明显上升,在三线城市则明显降低,职工平均工资在一、三线城市明显上升。
Taking the"two control zones"policy implemented in 1998 as a natural experiment,using the data from 1995-2016 prefecture-level cities and municipalities as a sample,and applying the double difference method to the environment,economy and society of the"two control zones"policy empirical research on the effects.The results show that,after implementing the"two control zones"policy,compared with non"two control zones"cities,sulfur dioxide emissions have been significantly improved.The economic effect is most obvious in the first-tier cities,the role of industrial structure adjustment is obvious,the development of the first and second industries is significantly weakened,and the opposite is the case of the tertiary industry,while the changes in the second,third,fourth,and fifth cities are not too obvious,relatively maintaining the original status.Social effects are different in various tier cities.The employment of primary industries in first-tier cities is significantly reduced,the employment of secondary industries in fifth-tier cities is significantly increased,the employment of tertiary industries in first-tier cities is significantly increased,and in third-tier cities is significantly reduced.The average wage of employees has risen markedly in first-and third-tier cities.
作者
李小胜
时辰
张思思
LI Xiao-sheng;SHI Chen;ZHANG Si-si(School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233030,China)
出处
《佳木斯大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2020年第3期120-124,154,共6页
Journal of Jiamusi University：Natural Science Edition
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71873001,71934001)
安徽省自然科学基金项目(1808085MG226)
安徽省哲学社会科学规划重点项目(AHSKZ2018D13)
安徽高校人文社会科学重点研究项目(SK2018A0439)
安徽财经大学研究生案例教学建设项目:G20峰会“政治性蓝天”案例研究(CXJHALZDI1806)和国家统计局一般项目(2017LY38)的资助。
关键词
环境政策
两控区
双重差分法
environmental policy
two control zones
double difference method
