摘要
基于中国1998—2015年的制造业碳排放数据,本文考察了中央与地方产业规划的碳排放倾向对地区碳排放的影响。研究发现,中央产业规划着眼于经济发展的长期目标,更倾向于发展低碳排放行业,而地方政府更关注短期经济增长,偏向发展高产值的高碳排放行业;地方产业规划对高碳排放行业的扶持能够降低地区的碳排放强度,而中央产业规划的影响则不明显。机制分析表明,政府对特定行业的扶持能够提升行业的工业增加值、降低行业的碳排放强度;由于高碳排放行业的产值与碳排放水平更高,地方政府对高碳排放行业的扶持所带来的行业碳排放下降最终导致整个地区的碳排放强度下降。研究结论揭示了中央与地方政府在推动经济向低碳化发展时所选择的不同路径及其影响差异。
Green development is a common goal pursued by all countries in the world.It is also the theme of China's development in the new era.China's industrialization has both brought economic benefits and caused severe problems such as high energy consumption and high carbon emissions.Coordinating economic growth and environmental protection has become the focus of global attention and is one of the main targets of industrial policy worldwide.Although the Chinese government has repeatedly emphasized the importance of green development and implemented several policies in this regard,China faces a great challenge in transitioning to a low-carbon economy.China is still one of the major contributors to global carbon emissions,with much higher carbon emission intensity than the global average;thus,there is still a long way to promote low-carbon economic development.Industrial policy is an important aid for economic development and a key factor in achieving energy savings and emission reductions.Policy has always attracted the attention of many scholars,but the literature mainly focuses on the effects of policies in coordinating economic development and emission reductions.Few studies focus on the impact of the institutional characteristics of policies.In China,the central government and provincial governments follow the institutional principle of“decentralized governance.”There are obvious target differences in the policy implementation for the different levels of government,leading to different support inclinations for industrial policies between the central and regional governments.These differences lead to different effects on regional carbon emissions.Using data from the China Emission Accounts and Datasets from 1998 to 2015,we investigate the different impacts on regional carbon emissions of the carbon-emission inclinations of the industrial plans proposed by the central government and by regional governments.Our empirical analysis shows that the central industrial plan supports low-carbon industries for the long-ter
作者
余壮雄
陈婕
董洁妙
YU Zhuangxiong;CHEN Jie;DONG Jiemiao(Institute of Industrial Economics,Jinan University)
出处
《经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第5期116-132,共17页
Economic Research Journal
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目(19BJL084)
广东省自然科学基金一般项目(2019A1515010445)
中央高校基本科研业务费(19JNKY04)的资助。
关键词
碳排放
产业规划
低碳经济
碳排放倾向指数
重点产业政策
Carbon Emission
Industrial Plans
Low-carbon Economy
Index of Carbon-emission Inclination
Key-industry Policy