摘要
本文根据贝叶斯后验概率公式对云模型参数进行修正,建立陆军防空兵作战能力评估标尺云,构建能力评估判断矩阵,采用排队法计算各评估指标权重系数,进而得出防空兵作战能力评估云图,实现对陆军防空兵作战能力的评估。通过对评估方法的理论分析和案例应用,验证了评估方法的适用性和有效性。
This paper revises the parameters of the cloud model according to the Bayes posterior probability formula,establishes the scale cloud of the combat capability evaluation of the army air defense forces,constructs the judgment matrix of the capability evaluation,calculates the weight coefficient of each evaluation index by the queuing method,and then obtains the cloud chart of the combat capability evaluation of the air defense forces,so as to realize the evaluation of the combat capability of the army air defense forces.Through the theoretical analysis and case application of the evaluation method,the applicability and effectiveness of the evaluation method are verified.
作者
金宏鹏
谷亚辉
JIN Hong-peng;GU Ya-hui(Unit 32140,Shijiazhuang 050061,China)
出处
《价值工程》
2020年第15期216-220,共5页
Value Engineering
关键词
贝叶斯理论
云模型
防空兵作战能力
Bayesian theory
cloud model
combat capability of air defense forces
