摘要
国家能力是国家将自己的意志转化为现实的能力,其中财政汲取能力是最基础、最重要的国家能力。经济全球化主要包括贸易、投资和金融三个维度。经济全球化促进了中国的贸易量和投资量,扩大了税基。一方面,为了应对全球化,中国政府对本国的相关制度、政策和法律条文进行立改废,显著地提高了经济运行机制。另一方面,全球化所带来的新问题和新挑战既导致了政府机构的扩张,也强化了现存的一些政府部门。与此同时,全球化之下的其他负外部性——比如急剧上升的贸易依存度和日益困难的监管——对中国国家能力产生了消极影响。本文以1960—2018年间的权威宏观政治经济数据为原始数据,但由于关键变量的数据有的始于1970年,有的截止到2013年,所以统计分析覆盖的时间段是1970—2013年。本文的回归分析发现,经济全球化显著地增强了中国的国家能力,其中贸易和金融全球化的作用显著的积极,但投资开放的影响则显著的消极。这一研究结果表明中国应该更加积极地参与到经济全球化进程中去,充分利用“一带一路”平台,大力发展国际贸易;加强对外商直接投资的规范化管理以及加速对科学技术的运用与掌握;在平衡风险和受益的基础上进一步开放金融市场。
The essay attempts to explore impacts of economic globalization upon China’s state capacity in different dimensions,namely trade,investment,and finance.Extractive capacity is the fundamental capacity of a state.Economic globalization has contributed to China’s increased size of international trade and foreign investment,expanding the country’s tax base.On the one hand,the Chinese government has made,promulgated and revised numerous laws and regulations in accordance with requirements imposed by globalization,which significantly improves the mechanism of Chinese economy.On the other hand,emerging problems such as terrorism and drug trade,have given rise to the expansion and consolidation of related government agencies.However,high trade dependence and increasing challenges in monitoring caused by economic globalization have exerted negative impacts upon China’s state capacity.The primary statistics covered the authoritative macro-datasets from 1970 to 2013.The regression analysis demonstrates that economic globalization significantly enhanced the Chinese state capacity,in which trade and finance play a positive role,while investment makes a negative influence.The result suggests that China play a more proactive part in promoting economic globalization.China should not only take full advantage of the Belt and Road Initiative and substantially enhance international trade,but gradually expand financial market to balance risks and profits.Furthermore,China is supposed to improve its administration of foreign direct investment,and promote the utilization and upgrading of science and technology.
作者
卢凌宇
胡怡
LU Lingyu;HU Yi(Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China;East China University of Political Science and Law,Shanghai 201620,China)
出处
《太平洋学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第5期67-80,共14页
Pacific Journal
基金
国家社科基金重大项目“‘一带一路’与澜湄国家命运共同体构建研究”(17ZDA042)
云南大学一流大学建设周边外交研究理论创新高地项目(C176240103004)。
关键词
经济全球化
中国
国家能力
贸易
投资
金融
economic globalization
China
state capacity
trade
investment
finance
