摘要
机票超售是航空收益管理的重要组成部分,确定最佳超售水平是机票超售的核心问题。为了确定最佳超售水平,基于二项分布的超售模型,综合考虑No-show人数和DB人数对总收益的影响,借助Matlab对多变量函数参数变化进行数值分析后,得到了航班的最优订票水平与旅客到达机场的概率以及处理DB旅客的费用之间关系,并给出了有效建议。最后对模型进行了实例分析,证明此方法简便可行,能够作为航空公司制定订票水平时的参考。
The determination of the optimal overbooking policy is the core issue of overbooking,an important constituent of airline revenue management.In view of this problem,based on the binomial distribution overbooking model,this paper takes into a synthetic consideration the influence of the number of No-show as well as the number of DB on the total revenue.After a numerical analysis of the changes of the parameters of multivariate function by using MATLAB,a conclusion has thus been drawn of the relationship between the optimal booking level of flights and the probability of passengers arriving at the airport,as well as the handling of the expenses of DB passengers,with some effective suggestions to be given.Finally,an empirical analysis has been made of the model,thus verifying the simplicity and feasibility of the proposed method,and can be used as a reference for airlines to set booking level.
作者
何晓芬
侯爱玉
HE Xiaofen;HOU Aiyu(College of Science,Hunan University of Technology,Zhuzhou Hunan 412007,China)
出处
《湖南工业大学学报》
2020年第3期94-98,共5页
Journal of Hunan University of Technology
基金
湖南省教育厅科学研究基金资助项目(17C0468)
国家自然科学基金资助项目(11801162)。
