摘要
以洪涝灾害风险为主题,将1999-2018年web of science核心数据库相关文献借助citespace工具进行知识图谱分析,归纳发文数量、分布特征和研究热点分布规律。结果表明:洪涝灾害风险研究研究热点呈现"灾害整合-气候变化-安全管理学-社会生态学-城市复杂性科学"的时空演化路径;研究主题涵盖"灾害认知研究"、"理论技术研究"和"典型区域研究"三方面内容。依据已有分析,对未来洪涝灾害风险相关研究方向进行预判和展望:理论技术探索聚焦于"精细化+自适应"设计;研究体系内涵由灾害认知评价向"超越工程至上"的适灾韧性体系转型,研究重心从应对和管理已知特定风险向更为灵活的适应和恢复过程转型,呈现涵盖"区域-城市-社区"(尺度)和"社会-自然-经济"(角度)的全面复合型研究内容框架。最后指出未来研究需着眼于构建多元数据支持的统一标准方法体系,及有机互联、全面复合的适灾韧性网络体系。
Taking flood disaster risk as the research object, the related literature of the web of science core database from 1999 to 2018 are analyzed with the Citespace tool, and the distribution characteristics and research hotspot distribution law are summarized.The results show that the research hotspots of flood disaster risk research show the space-time evolution path as: disaster integration-climate change-safety management-social ecology-urban complexity science.The research topics include Disaster Cognitive Research, Theoretical and Technological Research and Typical Regional Research.Based on the existing analysis, the future research directions of flood disaster risk are forecasted.Theoretical and technological exploration will focus on "refine + adaptive" design;the connotation of the research system will be transformed from disaster cognitive evaluation to " Go Beyond Engineering " disaster resilience system, and the focus of the research will be transformed from dealing with and managing knew specific risks to more flexible adaptation and recovery processes, presenting a "regional-urban-community(scale) "and "social-natural-economic(perspective)".Finally, it is pointed out that future research should focus on building a unified standard method system supported by multiple data, and an organic interconnected and comprehensive disaster-resilient network system.
作者
曾坚
王倩雯
郭海沙
ZENG Jian;WANG Qianwen;GUO Haisha(The School of Architecture,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,China)
出处
《灾害学》
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第2期127-135,共9页
Journal of Catastrophology
基金
十三五国家重点研发计划(2018YFC0704603)
国家自然科学基金重点项目(51438009)。
关键词
洪涝灾害
风险
研究进展
文献计量
评述
flood disaster
risk
research progress
bibliometrics
review
