摘要
基于协整理论中的平稳性检验、协整检验、误差修正模型,利用1998—2018年的相关数据,从长期弹性和短期弹性的视角,分析西南地区支线机场旅客吞吐量与西南地区GDP的关系。结果表明,西南地区支线机场旅客吞吐量和地区GDP之间呈现长期均衡和协同发展关系,当短期波动偏离长期均衡时,会通过反馈机制调整至均衡状态,并且支线机场旅客吞吐量和地区GDP的长期相关性比短期相关性更为明显。
From the perspective of long-term elasticity and short-term elasticity,this paper analyzes the relationship between branch airport passenger throughput and regional GDP of southwest China by using data of 1998-2018,based on the stability test,co-integration test and error correction model of co-integration theory.The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium and coordinated development relationship between branch airport passenger throughput and regional GDP of southwest China,when short-term fluctuations deviate from long-term equilibrium,the feedback mechanism is worked to adjust to the equilibrium state.In addition,the long-term relativity between branch airport passenger throughput and regional GDP of southwest China is greater than that of short-term.
作者
刘静
朱志愚
任志强
李涛
LIU Jing;ZHU Zhi-Yu;REN Zhi-Qiang;LI Tao(Civil Aviation Flight University of China,Guanghan Sichuan 618300,China)
出处
《科技和产业》
2020年第4期93-97,共5页
Science Technology and Industry
基金
中国民航飞行学院大学生创新创业训练计划项目(S201910624183)。
关键词
西南地区
支线机场
地区GDP
关系分析
Southwest China
branch airport
regional GDP
relationship analysis
