摘要
随着中国城镇化率突破50%分界线,总体增长态势下开始出现收缩现象。本文以内部发展差异较大的江苏省为研究对象,用2014-2016年三年间人口数据识别江苏省内增长与收缩区县,并进一步构建综合发展水平评价体系,采用主成分分析法来研究江苏省综合发展水平及其演变。结果表明,徐州市成为苏北地区增长极,南通市部分地区出现收缩现象。为了探究后发城市的精明增长模式,最后对徐州发展演变的内在机制进行分析,认为产业转型、基础设施建设、战略规划与政策是发展转型的重要动因。
As the urbanization rate breaks through the 50%threshold,shrinkage appears in the overall growth state.This paper takes Jiangsu province,which has a large difference in internal development,as the research object.The demographic data from 2014 to 2016 are used to identify the growth and contraction areas in Jiangsu province,then a comprehensive evaluation system was constructed and the principal component analysis is used to study the development level and evolution of Jiangsu province.The results show Xuzhou has become the growth pole of northern Jiangsu and parts of Nantong were shrinking.In order to explore the smart growth pattern of late-developing cities,the internal mechanism of Xuzhou's evolution was analyzed at last,and the conclusion is that the industrial transformation,infrastructure construction,development strategy and policy are the main drivers of development transition.
作者
何源
石飞
朱乐
HE Yuan;SHI Fei;ZHU Le
出处
《现代城市研究》
CSSCI
2020年第3期10-17,共8页
Modern Urban Research
基金
国家自然科学基金(51778277)。
关键词
城市增长与收缩
江苏省
主成分分析
徐州
精明增长
urban growth and shrinkage
Jiangsu
principal component analysis
Xuzhou
smart growth
