摘要
构建了一个动态随一般均衡(DSGE)模型,同时考虑了绿色工艺创新的"S型曲线"扩散规律与其本身的特征(节能作用和减排作用),模拟绿色工艺创新扩散的负向波动对经济增长的冲击效应。结果表明,各经济变量对绿色工艺创新扩散的负向波动呈现出不同的响应路径:资本存量的响应具有明显的滞后性,而资本报酬率的收敛过程出现了"倒U型"曲线;资本报酬率的波动幅度最大;资本存量的波动率较小,而资本报酬率的波动率较大;环保税税负水平的提升可以加速经济收敛。
In this paper, a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium(DSGE) model is constructed to simulate the impact of negative fluctuation of green process innovation diffusion on economic growth, taking into account the "S-shaped curve" diffusion law of green process innovation and its own characteristics(energy saving and emission reduction).The results show that each economic variable has different response paths to the negative fluctuation of the diffusion of green process innovation. The response of capital stock lags behind and the convergence process of return on capital shows an "inverted U-shaped" curve. Return on capital fluctuates the most. The fluctuation frequency of capital stock is smaller while that of capital return is larger. The increase of environmental tax burden can accelerate economic convergence.
作者
印浩
田贵良
钱晓燕
Yin Hao;Tian Guiliang;Qian Xiaoyan(Business School,Hohai University,Nanjing 211100,China)
出处
《技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第11期109-116,共8页
Journal of Technology Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“跨境水资源确权与分配方法及保障体系”(17ZDA064)。
关键词
绿色工艺创新
S型扩散
经济增长
green process innovation
S type diffusion
economic growth
