摘要
建立了包含社会、经济、环境、资源四个子系统的协调发展评价指标体系,运用耦合协调发展度模型,测算了能源金三角地区36个地级城市的区域发展协调度,并采用探索性空间数据分析ESDA方法,考察了协调发展的空间关联性及分布特征。研究表明:金三角地区地级城市的社会、经济、环境、资源的协调发展,尚处于中强度低协调的低水平耦合阶段,与其他三大经济圈还存在着明显差距;城市间的协调发展水平空间关联度较弱且不显著,协调性较低;耦合协调度在空间上分布不均衡,许多城市表现出了异质性集聚特性,在空间上未达到良性共振,表明整体发展的关联带动性较弱;能源金三角地区在城市协调发展方面存在严重的“资源诅咒”现象,同时也反映出该地区在发展过程中缺少系统空间规划。
This paper attempts to measure the degree of coordinated development of each city in the golden triangle region in western China based on the model of coordination degree and a coordinated development evaluation system,which includes four subsystems of social,economy,environment and resources.In addition,ESDA is adopted to analyze the spatial association and spatial distribution characteristics in this region.Results are as follows.Firstly,most cities in this area are still at a low level of coupling stage and in middle strength coordination.There is a significant difference between coupling degree and coupling coordination degree.Secondly,there is a weak and insignificant spatial association of overall coordination development,which indicates a relatively low coordination in the area.Thirdly,the spatial distribution of the coupling coordination degree is uneven.The prefectures in this region agglomerate heterogeneously,indicating that they are not closely correlated in the development.Lastly,there exists a serious"resource curse"phenomenon in the development of the Golden Triangle Area.
作者
吴玉鸣
刘诗洋
WU Yuming;LIU Shiyang(School of Business,East China University of Science and Technology,Shanghai 200237,China)
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2020年第3期78-84,91,共8页
Ecological Economy
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“时空效应视角下区域碳生产率趋同机制及减排策略研究”(71373079)
国家工业和信息化部与中国工程院“工业行业空间布局与区域协调发展研究——重化工业与环境协调发展研究”。
关键词
能源金三角
耦合度
耦合协调度
空间关联性
ESDA
the golden triangle energy region
coupling
degree of coupling coordination
spatial correlation
ESDA
