摘要
“一带一路”建设是中国以新兴发展中大国的姿态建设性参与全球秩序重塑的过程。在此过程中,“一带一路”与既定地缘政治格局中某些国家的利益和战略之间存在一定程度的冲突和博弈。为此,本研究试图从“一带一路”与美俄印欧版“一带一路”之间的互动关系中,考察美俄印欧基于各自地缘政治经济利益而制定的地缘战略,以及客观上所形成的地缘挑战,提出中国的应对举措。本文认为,源自于特朗普弱化美国国际领导责任的地缘战略,“C5+1机制”对“一带一路”并不具有反制的地缘战略效果;中俄互信固然达到了前所未有的高度,然则受地缘政治变化带来的地缘战略不定性的影响,不可忽视欧亚经济联盟与“一带一路”之间存在地缘利益失衡的潜在风险;印度“印太构想”等互联互通战略和“大国梦想”背后的地缘战略考量,势必削弱“战略对接”在人们预想中的相关积极功能;欧版“一带一路”反映出欧盟试图通过所谓的“可持续”亚欧联通战略提升在亚欧大陆话语权的地缘战略考虑,但其内部的认知分歧,使其无法摆脱中国对其“分而治之”的疑虑。
The construction of the “Belt and Road” Initiative is a process in which China,as an emerging developing power,constructively participates in reshaping the global order.In this process,there is a certain degree of conflict between the “Belt and Road” Initiative and the interests and strategies of certain countries in the established geopolitical pattern.To this end,this paper attempts to examine the interactions between China ’ s version of “Belt and Road” Initiative and the version of the United States,Russia,India and Europe,analyzes the geopolitical strategies formulated by these big powers based on their geopolitical and economic interests,the geo-challenges and China ’ s corresponding measures.This paper insists that the “C5+1 mechanism”,which is originated from Trump ’ s geostrategy to weaken America ’ s international leadership responsibility,does not have a counter geopolitical effect on the “Belt and Road” Initiative.Although the mutual trust between China and Russia has reached unprecedented heights,the potential risks of geopolitical imbalance between the Eurasian Economic Union and the “Belt and Road” can not be ignored. India ’ s “Indo- Pacific Conception” and its “big country dreams” are bound to weaken the positive functions of the “strategic docking” in our expectations.The European version of “Belt and Road” Initiative reflects that the EU attempts to raise its voice in Eurasian through the so-called “sustainable” Asia-Europe connectivity strategy.Due to some internal cognitive differences,the EU still suspects that China schemes to “divide and rule” Europe.
作者
李折周
刘存京
Li Zhezhou;Liu Cunjing
出处
《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》
CSSCI
2020年第1期32-51,155,156,共22页
Russian，East European & Central Asian Studies
关键词
“一带一路”倡议
欧亚经济联盟
C5+1机制
印太构想欧版“一带一路”
“Belt and Road” Initiative
Eurasian Economic Union
“C5+1 Mechanism”
Indo-Pacific Conception
Euro-Asian Connectivity Strategy
