摘要
文章收集了2008—2018年延安旅游收入、延安全年接待国内外旅客数量以及城镇居民人均可支配收入的相关数据,运用线性回归模型,定量分析延安全年接待国内外旅客数量、城镇居民人均可支配收入这两个因子对延安旅游收入的影响。研究结果表明:延安旅游收入与延安全年接待国内外旅客数量是同方向发展的,与城镇居民人均可支配收入不是同方向发展的;延安全年接待国内外旅客数量、城镇居民人均可支配收入均对延安旅游收入影响显著;在预测期内,延安“十三五”经济发展任务可圆满完成。
This paper collects the relevant data of tourism income of Yan'an from 2008 to 2018,the number of domestic and foreign tourists received in Yan'an and the per capita disposable income of urban residents.Using linear regression model,the paper quantitatively analyses the impact of the two factors on Yan'an tourism:the number of domestic and foreign tourists received in Yan'an and the per capita disposable income of urban residents.The results show that the tourism income of Yan'an develops in the same direction as the number of domestic and foreign tourists received in Yan'an,but not in the same direction as the per capita disposable income of urban residents;the number of domestic and foreign tourists received in Yan'an and the per capita disposable income of urban residents have significant effects on the tourism income of Yan'an;in the forecast period,the 13th five-year plan of economic development task in Yan'an can be accomplished successfully.
作者
周艳
马勇
ZHOU Yan;MA Yong(School of Economics and Management,Yan'an University,Yan'an 716000,Shaanxi)
出处
《延安大学学报（社会科学版）》
2019年第6期78-82,共5页
Journal of Yan'an University (Social Sciences Edition)
关键词
延安旅游
收入预测
定量分析
Yan'an tourism
income forecast
quantitative analysis
