摘要
近10年来,中国区域间房地产市场分化程度日益加深,房价差异影响了居民和投资者的决策从而影响了市场间风险传染关系.文章在房地产市场分化背景下,研究股票市场、信贷市场和房地产市场之间的市场风险传染研究,构建PVAR模型,通过房价、住户信贷规模和股指验证了3个市场在不同区域内风险传染作用存在显著的差异,并从居民和投资者的视角解释造成影响不同的原因.
In recent ten years,the differentiation of China's real estate market is gradually increasing,which affects people's decision on loaning and investing.It changes the way of cross-market risk contagion.In this context,the paper proposes a PVAR model to study risk contagion issues bet ween stock market,credit market and real estate market.The empirical results show that cross-market risk contagion varies in different cities.It also explains the reasons from the perspective of residents and investors.
作者
董纪昌
苗晋瑜
董志
DONG Jichang;MIAO Jinyu;DONG Zhi(School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190;School of Innovation and Entrepreneurship,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190)
出处
《系统科学与数学》
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第10期1701-1709,共9页
Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences
基金
国家自然科学基金应急管理项目(71850014)
国家自然科学基金重点项目(71532013)
国家自然科学基金面上项目(71573244,71871210)资助课题
