摘要
本文选取21个陷入“中等收入陷阱”的经济体与10个成功跨越“中等收入陷阱”的经济体进行对比分析,实证研究了双向FDI对跨越“中等收入陷阱”的影响。研究结果表明:陷入组外商直接投资(IFDI)会显著促进经济增长,对外直接投资(OFDI)则会在一定程度上抑制经济增长;跨越组主要依赖OFDI拉动经济增长,IFDI则会在一定程度上抑制经济增长;跨越组和陷入组双向FDI的交互项系数都显著为正,说明IFDI和OFDI之间存在一定的相互促进作用。因此,经济体应着力促进双向FDI协调发展,形成对外开放新格局,最终促进其跨越“中等收入陷阱”。
This paper investigated 21 economies that fell into the“middle income trap”and compared them with 10 economies successfully striding across the“middle income trap”,and empirically examined the impact of two-way FDI on the“middle income trap”.The results show that:In terms of the countries falling into the middle income trap”,inward foreign direct investment(IFDI)will significantly promote the economic growth while outward foreign direct investment(OFDI)will inhibit the growth to a certain extent;economies that have stridden across the“middle income trap”mainly rely on OFDI to stimulate the economy and it will be inhibited by IFDI to some extent;the interaction coefficients of two-way FDI are significantly positive both in the falling into group and striding across group,indicating that there indeed exists a certain mutual benefits relationship between IFDI and OFDI.Therefore,the economies should focus on promoting the coordinated development of two-way FDI,forming a new pattern of opening up to the outside world,and ultimately striding across the“middle income trap”.
作者
刘海云
龚梦琪
LIU Haiyun;GONG Mengqi
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第7期142-155,共14页
Journal of International Trade
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目“双向FDI(对外直接投资)的环境效应研究”(2017WKZDJC008)
关键词
外商直接投资
对外直接投资
双向FDI
中等收入陷阱
Inward Foreign Direct Investment
Outward Foreign Direct Investment
Two-way FDI
Middle Income Trap
