摘要
对我国的结构性人口危机大致可有三个基本判断:即低生育常态化,人口优势在悄悄减弱,大国空巢或将老无所依。基于三大判断,讨论中国人口的出路问题,关注人口的内涵式发展和高质量发展,打造和建设实力型、创新型、团结型、平衡型和自强型“五型中国人口”是值得全体国人共同奋斗的人口优化发展目标。中国不仅应当保持“人口大国”的优势,而且要培植“人口强国”的优势。
This paper has formed three basic judgments about our country's structural population crisis:namely, the overall situation has been settled, the favorable conditions have no longer existed, and a disaster is imminent. Based on the above three judgments, this paper discusses the reconstruction and way out of China's population, pays attention to the connotative and high-quality development of our population, and creates and builds the “five-type Chinese population”, a development goal for population optimization which is worthy of striving for by all the people. China should not only maintain its advantages as a “ big country with large population”, but also cultivate its advantages as a “ strong country with large population”.
作者
穆光宗
Mu Guangzong(Institute of Population Research, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)
出处
《北京大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第5期69-76,共8页
Journal of Peking University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
关键词
低生育
少子化
老龄化
人口生态失衡
人口优化
人口高质量发展
low fertility
sub-replacement fertility
population ageing
ecological imbalance of population
population optimization
high-quality population development