摘要
通过我国农业的发展现状,结合经济学原理,运用Eviews软件,建立计量经济学模型。分析了农业机械拥有量、农作物播种面积、耕地灌溉面积、化肥施用量以及农业从业人员数对全国农业总产值的影响,并结合多种检验,进行模型的修正与优化,结果表明农用化肥施用量以及农作物播种总面积与农业产值正相关,而农业机械总动力、农村用电量以及耕地灌面积对农业总产值的影响不大。
Based on the current situation of agricultural development in China and the principles of economics, an econometric model is established. Eviews software was used to analyze the effects of agricultural machinery ownership, crop sowing area, farmland irrigation area, fertilizer application amount and the number of agricultural practitioners on the national agricultural output value. Combined with various tests, the model was modified and optimized. The results showed that the amount of agricultural chemical fertilizer application and the total area of crop sowing were positively correlated with the agricultural output value, while the total power of agricultural machinery was positively correlated with the agricultural output value. Rural electricity consumption and cultivated land irrigated area have little effect on the total agricultural output value.
作者
吴媚
朱家明
Wu Mei;Zhu Jiaming(Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu, Anhui 233030)
出处
《职大学报》
2019年第5期82-86,共5页
Journal of the Staff and Worker’s University
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“3-流猜想,Fulkerson-覆盖及相关问题”(项目编号:11601001)
“全国大学生节能减排社会实践与科技竞赛”（acxkjsjy201803zd）
大数据背景下数学类专业课程《数学建模》教学内容的研究（acjyyb2018006）
安徽省高校人文社会科学研究重点项目.制度背景、高管薪酬外部公平性与企业风险承担。编号.sk2018a0437
关键词
农业总产值
影响因素
计量经济学
实证分析
gross agricultural output value
influencing factors
econometrics
empirical analysis
