摘要
现代物流业对国民经济的基础支撑作用越发重要,物流需求量的预测研究具有重要的理论作用和实际意义。本文采用GM(1,1)灰色预测模型,基于2011~2018年成都市物流货运周转量为基础数据建立模型,对成都市未来物流需求量进行预测,并结合成都市政策支持条件和经济发展条件,对预测结果进行了分析,为成都市物流发展规划提供依据。
he modern logistics industry is more and more important to the basic support of the national economy.The prediction of logistics demand has important theoretical and practical significance.This paper adopts GM(1,1) gray forecasting model,based on 2011~2018 Chengdu logistics freight turnover as the basic data to establish a model to predict the future logistics demand of Chengdu,combined with Chengdu policy support conditions and economic development conditions.The analysis of the forecast results provides a basis for Chengdu's logistics development planning.
作者
陈丹
朱萍
CHEN Dan;ZHU Ping(School of Logistics,Chengdu University of Information Technology,Chengdu 610103,China)
出处
《物流科技》
2019年第10期131-133,共3页
Logistics Sci-Tech
基金
四川省教育厅2018年度人文社科重点项目“农村电子商务供应链体系构建与运作研究”(CX(16)1006)
