摘要
利用2004-2014年我国31个省级经济单元相关数据,基于时空变换视角构建空间杜宾模型,探讨加入社会方面因素后的经济增长理论能否更好预测我国经济发展问题。结果显示:1)过去忽视的空间相关性不仅存在,且表现规律性变化和多种态式并存。2)东部省份经济增长具有良好省际外部环境,中部省份省际竞争日趋激烈,西部省份省际外部环境更多表现为历史传承。3)与经典研究不同,发现信任水平与一国经济增长为正U型关系,总体上先因后仰。
In this paper, the economic units of 31 provinces in China from 2004 to 2014 are studied. From the perspective of space-time transformation, the spatial Doppin model is constructed to try to solve the economic growth theory after joining the social factors. The results show that:(1)The spatial correlation neglected in the past not only exists, but also shows regular change and coexistence of multiple modes.(2)The economic growth in the eastern provinces has a good inter-provincial external environment, the inter-provincial competition in the central provinces is becoming more and more intense, and the inter-provincial external environment in the western provinces is more historical inheritance.(3)Social trust is different from the previous research, this paper found that the level of trust and a country's economic growth for the U-shaped relationship. On the whole, it is suppressed before it is raised.
作者
肖功为
刘洪涛
贺翀
XIAO Gong-wei;LIU Hong-tao;HE Chong(The Center for Economic Research, Shangdong Univerity,Jinan 250100, China;Hunan Provincial Regional Economic Research Center,Shaoyang University,Shaoyang 422000, China)
出处
《湖南大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第5期64-71,共8页
Journal of Hunan University(Social Sciences)
基金
国家社会科学基金项目:供给侧改革下产业政策对产业升级的有效性研究(18BJL051)
关键词
制度创新
社会资本
区域经济差距
空间杜宾模型
institutional innovation
social capital
regional economic disparity
spatial Durbin Model
