摘要
针对合同节水管理风险评价过程中各评价指标定性概念的随机性及模糊性,提出一种基于云模型的综合评价方法。运用层次分析法确定指标权重,通过正向云发生器对合同节水管理项目的风险评价标准进行云变换得到概念云模型。通过专家打分法获取云滴,采用浮动运算法和综合运算法实现合同节水管理项目由低级指标向高级指标的转换。将结果转换为云图,并与风险评价标准的概念云模型进行对比,得出评价结果。最终通过实例分析,证明云模型应用于合同节水管理风险评价的有效性和可行性。
Aiming at the randomness and fuzziness of the qualitative concept of each evaluation index in the risk evaluation process of contract water-saving management,a comprehensive evaluation method based on cloud model is proposed.The analytic hierarchy process(AHP)is used to determine the index weight,and the conceptual cloud model is obtained by cloud transformation of the risk evaluation standard of the contract water-saving management project through the forward cloud generator.The cloud droplets are obtained by the expert scoring method,and the floating operation method and the comprehensive operation method are used to realize the conversion of the contract water-saving management project from the low level index to the high level index.The results are converted into cloud maps and compared with the conceptual cloud model of risk assessment criteria to obtain the evaluation results.Finally,through case analysis,the effectiveness and feasibility of applying cloud model to risk assessment of contract water-saving management are proved.
作者
汪伦焰
武杨凯
李慧敏
曹永超
WANG Lun-yan;WU Yang-kai;LI Hui-min;CAO Yong-chao(School of Water Conservancy,North China University of Water Resources and Hydropower,Zhengzhou 450045,China;Academician Workstation of Water Environment Management and Ecological Restoration of Henan Province,Zhengzhou 450002,China;Henan Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation and Treatment,Zhengzhou 450045,China)
出处
《节水灌溉》
北大核心
2019年第5期104-108,共5页
Water Saving Irrigation
基金
2017年度河南省高校科技创新人才支持计划(2017-CX-023)
2015年度河南省水利科技攻关计划项目(GG201540)
2016年河南教育厅产学研项目(162107000051)
关键词
合同节水管理
风险管理
正态云模型
层次分析法
contract water-saving management
risk assessment
normal cloud model
analytic hierarchy process
