摘要
"一带一路"倡议提出后,理论界的探讨更多集中在政治含义和政策层面,国际舆论多从地缘政治视角进行分析和评论,甚至称之为新的"权力游戏"。"一带一路"倡议虽然由中国提出和推动,但从根本上配合和顺应的是国际产业转移规律和世界经济发展大趋势,有着很强的普遍性和客观性。"一带一路"是中国企业"走出去"的升级版和新阶段,也是国际产业转移的重要组成部分。中国正成为新一轮国际产业转移的主要输出地,而"一带一路"沿线国家则成为主要承接地。未来世界经济新的增长中心有望出现在"一带一路"地区,但至于哪些国家能够率先通过承接产业转移实现工业化和经济起飞,不仅取决于发展阶段、技术、成本和地理等客观条件,也取决于这些国家内外政策的调整与选择。
Ever since the proposal of the Belt and Road Initiative,discussions have been mainly focused on its political implications and possible policies while international public opinion discusses it from a geopolitical perspective and some even label it as a game for power.Although it was initiated by China,it is a universal fact that the Initiative is in compliance with the law of international industrial shift and the trend of global economic development.The Belt and Road Initiative can be indeed taken as an upgraded edition ot a new stage of Chinese firms' 44 going out” policy-an effort to become real international enteiprises-as well as an important part of international industrial shift.China is increasingly becoming a provider in the process of international industrial shift and the countries along the Belt and Road the recipients.In the future,the world economic growth center could be the countries along the Belt and Road.As to which country or countries will take over the shifting industries to materialize? industrialization and economic growth,it depends not only on factors such as their stage of economic development,technology,costs and geography,but also on their domestic and foreign policies.
出处
《现代国际关系》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第3期38-45,64,共9页