摘要
通过对龙南县1987—2016年汛期暴雨前1 d 14:00的温度、水汽压、本站气压等要素资料进行统计分析,得出分月暴雨要素变化参考指标,利用2017—2018年大雨及以上量级降水过程对指标进行检验。结果表明,指标可以有效降低暴雨过程的空报率,提高预报的准确率。
According to the statistical analysis of the temperature, water vapor pressure and pressure of the site at 14: 00 on the day before rainstorm in the flood season in Longnan County from 1987 to 2016, the reference index of the monthly rainstorm element change was obtained. The index was verified by the rainfall above heary rain during 2017-2018.The results showed that the index could effectively reduce the air report rate of the rainstorm process and improve the accuracy of the forecast.
作者
李严芳
黄伟
吴扬
LI Yan-fang;HUANG Wei;WU Yang(Longnan County Meteorological Bureau in Jiangxi Province,Longnan Jiangxi 341700)
出处
《现代农业科技》
2019年第4期176-177,共2页
Modern Agricultural Science and Technology
关键词
单站要素资料
短期暴雨
预报指标
江西龙南
single-station element data
short-term rainstorm
forecast index
Longnan Jiangxi
