摘要
2018年6月15日美国对中国输美的高新技术产业产品加征25%关税。随即,中国采取反制措施,对从美国进口的大豆、坚果、猪肉制品等农产品(HS-2编码10、02、08、16等)加征25%的关税。"一来一往"的贸易摩擦不仅损害出口国利益,也会导致进口国福利损失。就中国而言,估计中国进口美国猪肉的贸易限制指数,借助贸易限制指数可以估算出因中美贸易摩擦提高进口关税给中国消费者造成的福利损失。短期看,消费者可以通过转换肉类食品,选择牛、羊、鸡、鱼等肉类替代猪肉产品;长期看,经销商会寻找到合适的替代品,同时随着国内市场的完善,猪肉价格趋于稳定,消费者的福利将不会受到太大影响。
On June 15,2018,the United States imposed 25% tariff on high-tech industrial products imported from China.China responded by imposing a 25% tariff on imports of agricultural products such as soybeans,nuts and pork products(HS-2 code 10,02,08,16,etc.) from the United States.The trade friction would not only harm the interests of the exporting countries,but also lead to the welfare loss of the importing countries.Based on China’s perspective,the trade restriction index of Chinese pork imports from the United States was estimated,and the welfare loss of China caused by the increase of import tariffs due to Sino-US trade friction was estimated.In the short term,consumers can choose to replace pork products such as cattle,sheep,chicken and fish.In the long run,dealers will find suitable substitutes.Meanwhile,with the perfection of the domestic market,the pork price tend to stabilize,and consumers’ welfare will not be greatly affected.
作者
孙玮
陶红军
SUN Wei;TAO Hongjun(School of Economics and Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350108,China)
出处
《中国猪业》
2019年第1期13-18,22,共7页
China Swine Industry
基金
福建省社科规划一般项目(FJ20178107)
关键词
贸易摩擦
非关税壁垒
关税等值
贸易限制指数
净福利损失
trade friction
non-tariff barrier
tariff equivalent
trade restriction index
net welfare loss
