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落叶松碳汇造林项目CCER开发成本动态核算研究 被引量:15

Dynamic Accounting on the Development Costs of China Certified Emission Reduction issued by Larix Gmelinii (Rupr.) Kuzen. Afforestation and Reforestation Project
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摘要 从碳交易视角出发,构建中国核证减排量核算机理框架与开发成本评估模型,利用关键信息人访谈、文献资料与中国自愿减排交易信息平台查阅等途径获取的数据参数资料,实证分析了河北省丰宁县落叶松造林项目中国核证减排量开发成本及其动态分布,并探讨了其敏感性。结果表明:在当前条件下,落叶松造林项目中国核证减排量的开发成本在不同项目期内存在一定差异,在1.5~191.1元/吨之间;造林规模与贴现利率单因素变化,以及一次性开发成本或连续性签发成本多因素联合变化是影响中国核证减排量开发成本的重要因素;但不同市场条件下中国核证减排量开发成本仍低于碳汇收益。最后,根据研究结论,给出了相应的政策启示。 Accounting mechanism and framework of CCER and its development cost assessment model were to be constructed from the perspective of carbon trading.Many parameter data is obtained by interviewing with key information people and collecting from literatures and transaction information platform of voluntary emission reduction transactions in China.And then,the development cost of CCER of Larix Gmelinii(Rupr.)Kuzen.afforestation project in Fengning county of Hebei province were to be measured.Meanwhile,sensitivity of development costs were also be empirical tested under different scenarios.The results indicated that:the development cost of CCER issued by the Larix Gmelinii(Rupr.)Kuzen.afforestation project is different under different project period,changing from 1.5 to 191.1 yuan/ton;the afforestation area and different discount rate has a significant negative effect on the development cost of CCER,while the one-time development costs or the continuous issue cost have a significant positive effect on the development cost of CCER.Although the development cost of CCER is significantly affected by the market environments and afforestation area,the development costs of CCER are still lower than the gains.Finally,according to the conclusions,the policy recommendations are proposed.
作者 曹先磊 张颖 CAO Xian-lei;ZHANG Yin(Faculty of International Trade,Shanxi University of Finance and Eoonomics,Taiyuan 030006,China;School of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China)
出处 《统计与信息论坛》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第3期43-49,共7页 Journal of Statistics and Information
基金 全国统计科学研究重大项目<SEEA框架下自然资源资产估价方法及负债表编制的统计规范研究>(2017LD03)
关键词 森林碳汇 造林再造林 中国核证减排量 固碳成本评估模型 forest carbon sequestration afforestation and reforestation China certified emission reduction cost assessment model of carbon sequestration
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