摘要
中国渔业发展历史悠久,水产品出口量自2002年起便稳居世界第一。加入WTO以来,贸易环境日益宽松,贸易自由化发展促使中国渔业贸易在世界渔业经济中的地位不断攀升。近年来,中国和欧盟作为世界两大主要经济体,经贸关系高速发展,双边贸易在双方的对外经济中均占有重要地位。同时,欧盟是中国的四大贸易伙伴之一,中欧渔业贸易额一直呈不断上升的态势。因此,对欧盟渔业贸易的研究有助于及时了解和把握以欧盟为首的世界发达经济体渔业的总体状况。本文基于中欧渔业贸易数据,总结了近年来两国渔业贸易的最新进展,对其中具有长期稳定性的因素进行了归纳,利用面板向量自回归模型对较为重要的趋势特征进行了预测。
China has a long history of fishery development,and the export of aquatic products has been ranked first in the world since 2002.Since China’s entry into WTO,the trade environment has been loosening day by day,and the development of trade liberalization has promoted the status of fishery trade in the world fishery economy.China and the European Union are two major economies in the world.In recent years,China-EU economic and trade relations have developed rapidly,and their bilateral trade has played an important role in the foreign economy of both sides.At the same time,the EU is one of China’s four major trading partners,and China-EU fishery trade has been on the rise.Therefore,the study of EU fishery trade is helpful to understand and grasp the overall situation of the world’s developed economies.Based on the fishery trade data of China and Europe,this paper summarizes the latest progress of fishery trade between China and Europe in recent years,sums up the factors which have long-term stability,and forecasts the more important trend characteristics by using the panel vector autoregressive model.
作者
任肖嫦
Ren Xiaochang(College of Economics,Qingdao Agricultural University,Qingdao,Shandong,266109,China)
出处
《中国海洋经济》
2018年第2期61-81,共21页
Marine Economy in China
